Methods for identifying causal relationships in economics

 

 

A.

Experiments

 

 

Bertrand, Marianne  and Sendhil Mullainathan, “Are Emily and Greg More Employable than Lakisha and Jamal?  A Field Experiment on Labor Market

Discrimination,” American Economic Review, 94(4), 2004, 991-1013.  [download]

 

 

Fisman, Raymond, et al., “Gender Differences in Mate Selection:  Evidence from a Speed Dating Experiment,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 121(2), 673-697. [download]

 

 

Niederle, Muriel and Lise Vesterlund, “Do Women Shy Away from Competition?  Do Men Compete Too Much?”  Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122(3), 2007, 1067-1101. [download]

 

 

Katz, Lawrence, Kling, Jeffrey, and Liebman, Jeffrey, “Moving to Opportunity in Boston:  Early Results of a Randomized Mobility Experiment,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(2), May 2001, 607-654. [download]

 

 

Ludwig, Jens, Duncan, Greg, and Hischfield, “Urban Poverty and Juvenile Crime:  Evidence from a Randomized Housing-Mobility Experiment,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(2), May 2001, 655-679. [download]

 

 

Ausubel, Lawrence, “Adverse Selection in the Credit Card Market,” Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Maryland, 1999. [download]

 

B.

Difference in difference models

 

 

Almond, D., K. Chay, D. Lee, "The Costs of Low Birth Weight," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120, 2005, 1031-1084.  [download]

 

 

Geronimus, A., and S. Korenman, "The Socioeconomic Consequences of Teen Childbearing Reconsidered," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1992, 1187-1213. [Download]

 

 

Meyer, B., W.K. Viscusi, and D. Durbin (1995), "Worker’ Compensation and Injury Duration: Evidence from a Natural Experiment," American Economic Review, Vol. 85, 322-40. [download]

 

 

J.H. Tyler, R.J. Murnane, and J.B. Willett, “Estimating the Labor Market Signaling Value of the GED.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, v115, n2 (May 2000): 431-68. [download]

 

 

Ayres, Ian and Steven Levitt, “Measuring Positive Externalities from Unobserved Victim Precaution:  An Empirical Analysis of Lojak,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(3), 2000, 755-789. [download]

 

 

Acemoglu, D., J. Angrist, “Consequences of Employment Protection?  The Case of the American with Disabilities Act,” Journal of Political Economy, 109(5), 2001. [download]

 

 

Card, D., and A.B. Krueger, "Minimum Wages and Employment: A Case Study of the Fast Food Industry in New Jersey and Pennsylvania," American Economic Review, September 1994, 722-794. [download]

 

C.

Instrumental Variables

 

 

Permut, Thomas, and J. Richard Hebel. “Simultaneous-Equation Estimation in a Clinical Trial of the Effect of Smoking on Birth Weight”  Biometrics, June 1989, 45: pp 619-622. [download]

 

Sexton, Mary and J. Richard Hebel. “A Clinical Trial of Change in Maternal Smoking and Its Effect on Birth Weight”  JAMA, February 17, 1984,  251(7):  pp 911-915. [download]

 

 

Angrist, J.D., G.W. Imbens, and D.B. Rubin, “Identification of Causal Effects Using Instrumental Variables,” Journal of the American Statistical Association, 91, June 1996, 444-455.  [download]

 

 

Angrist, J.D., "Lifetime Earnings and the Vietnam Era Draft Lottery: Evidence from Social Security Administrative Records," American Economic Review, 80, 1990, 313-336. [download]

 

 

Angrist, J.D., and W.N. Evans, “Children and Their Parents’ Labor Supply: Evidence from Exogenous Variation in Family Size,” American Economic Review, 88(3), 1998, 450-477. [download]

 

 

Hotz, V. Joseph, “Teenage Childbearing and Its Life Cycle Consequences:  Exploiting a Natural Experiment,” Journal of Human Resources, 40(3), 2005, 683-715. [download]

 

 

Sacerdote, Bruce, “How Large Are the Effects from Changes in Family Environment?  A Study of Korean American Adoptees,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 121(1), 2007, 119-157. [download]

 

D.

Regression Discontinuity design

 

 

Hahn, J. P. Todd, W. van der Klaauw, "Identification and Estimation of Treatment Effects with a Regression Discontinuity Design,"  Econometrica, 69(1), 2001, 201-09. [download]

 

 

Van der Klaauw, "Estimating the Effect of Financial Aid Offers on College Enrollment:  A Regression Discontinuity Approach," International Economic Review, 43(4), 2002, 1249-87. [download]

 

 

Matsudaira, Jordan, “Sinking or Swimming:  Evaluating the Impact of English Immersion versus Bilingual Education.”  Working Paper, Cornell University, December 2005. [download]

 

 

Chay, K., P. McEwan, M. Urquiola, "The Central Role of Noise in Evaluating Interventions that Use Test Scores to Rank Schools," American Economic Review, 95(4),  2005, 1237-1258. [download]

 

 

Angrist, J.D., V. Lavy, "Using Maimonides' Rule to Estimate the Effect of Class Size on Scholastic Achievement, "Quarterly Journal of Economics, 114(2), 1999, 533-575. [download]

 

 

Dinardo, J., D.S.  Lee, "Economic Impacts of New Unionization on Private Sector Employers:  1984-2001," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 119(4), 1328-1441. [download]

 

 

Card, D., C. Dobkin, N. Maestas, "The Impact of Nearly Universal Insurance Coverage on Health Care Utilization and Health:  Evidence from Medicare," NBER Working Paper # 10365, March 2004. [download]