"Determinism is the thesis that only one continuation of the state of things at a given moment is consistent with the laws of nature.
Let us suppose that determinism is true ... [and] consider the two statements
- Things were thus and so 10 million years ago.
- If things were thus and so 10 million years ago, then I am working on this book now.
(Here 'thus and so' is a sort of gesture at a complete description of the way things were 10 million years ago.) Each of these statements is true. And it is true that no [human being] has, or ever had, any choice about the truth of either. It is obvious that no human being has or ever had any choice about whether things
were thus and so 10 million years ago, since at that time the first human beings were still 10 million years in the future.
And no human being has any choice about whether the second statement is true because this statement is a consequence of the laws of nature, and no ... human being ... has any choice about what the laws of nature are.
But if both of these statements are true, then .... neither I nor anyone else has ever had any choice about whether I write this book. ... How could I have a choice about anything that is an inevitable consequence of something I have no choice about?"