These two days involved focusing on learning about and applying data assimilation in the lab.
Students learned about PDA – parameter data-assimilation NOT public displays of affection (although successful parameters data-assimilation could make you want to celebrate with public displays of affection for your computer).
During these two days students learned:
- The need to test-run your model.Â If you know the model is wrong â€“ tuning the parameters is not going to help.
- Adjusting your priors after your model run is a cardinal sin.Â The solution is not to move your prior, but rather to go back and work on your model!
- An interesting problem in the iterative process of modeling is knowing when to stop.Â When are your models good enough?Â How much uncertainty is acceptable?Â This is especially important when thinking about the interface between science and policy.Â What level of uncertainty is needed in order to make policy?Â While the course didnâ€™t provide the answers to these questions â€“ it did give students food for thought.
The students were able to assimilate the tree ring data measured from their tree cores into the PEcAn ecosystem model they had learned about on Day 3.
The following are some of the results from the tree ring data assimilation.