Reading List

ECON 13191/Honors Seminar 28222

 

I.

The problem of inferring causal relationships from observational data – two examples

 

 

 

Please read the introduction to Freakonomics

 

 

 

Hotz, V. Joseph, “Teenage Childbearing and Its Life Cycle Consequences:  Exploiting a Natural Experiment,” Journal of Human Resources, 40(3), 2005, 683-715. Please read the first two pages and look at Table 1 [download]

 

 

 

Levitt, Steven, “Using Election Cycles in Police Hiring to Estimate the Effect of Police on Crime,” American Economic Review, 87(3), 1997, 270-290.  Please read the introduction

[download]

 

II.

Methods for identifying causal relationships in economics

 

 

A.

Experiments

 

 

 

Bertrand, Marianne  and Sendhil Mullainathan, “Are Emily and Greg More Employable than Lakisha and Jamal?  A Field Experiment on Labor Market Discrimination,” American Economic Review, 94(4), 2004, 991-1013. [download]

 

Also, read Chapter 6 of Freakonnomics

 

 

 

Fisman, Raymond, et al., “Gender Differences in Mate Selection:  Evidence from a Speed Dating Experiment,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 121(2), 673-697. [download]

 

 

 

Niederle, Muriel and Lise Vesterlund, “Do Women Shy Away from Competition?  Do Men Compete Too Much?”  Quarterly Journal of Economics, 122(3), 2007, 1067-1101.

[download]

 

 

 

Ausubel, Lawrence, “Adverse Selection in the Credit Card Market,” Working Paper, Department of Economics, University of Maryland, 1999. [download]

 

 

 

Sexton, Mary and J. Richard Hebel. "A Clinical Trial of Change in Maternal Smoking and Its Effect on Birth Weight" JAMA, February 17, 1984, 251(7): pp 911-915. [download]

 

Permut, Thomas, and J. Richard Hebel. "Simultaneous-Equation Estimation in a Clinical Trial of the Effect of Smoking on Birth Weight" Biometrics, June 1989, 45: pp 619-622. [download]

 

 

B.

Natural experiments and quasi experimental variation

 

 

 

Angrist, J.D., and W.N. Evans, “Children and Their Parents’ Labor Supply: Evidence from Exogenous Variation in Family Size,” American Economic Review, 88(3), 1998, 450-477.

[download]

 

 

 

Hotz, V. Joseph, “Teenage Childbearing and Its Life Cycle Consequences:  Exploiting a Natural Experiment,” Journal of Human Resources, 40(3), 2005, 683-715. [download]

 

 

 

Angrist, J.D., "Lifetime Earnings and the Vietnam Era Draft Lottery: Evidence from Social Security Administrative Records," American Economic Review, 80, 1990, 313-336. [Download]

 

 

 

Sacerdote, Bruce, “How Large Are the Effects from Changes in Family Environment?  A Study of Korean American Adoptees,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 121(1), 2007, 119-157. [download]

 

Also, please read Chapter 5 of Freakonomics

 

 

C.

Using States and Cities as Laboratories

 

 

 

Ayres, Ian and Steven Levitt, “Measuring Positive Externalities from Unobserved Victim Precaution:  An Empirical Analysis of Lojak,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 115(3), 2000, 755-789. [download]

 

 

 

Acemoglu, D., J. Angrist, “Consequences of Employment Protection?  The Case of the American with Disabilities Act,” Journal of Political Economy, 109(5), 2001. [download]

 

 

 

Card, David, “The Impact of the Mariel Boatlift on the Miami Labor Market,” Industrial Labor Relations Review, 43(2), 1990, 245-257.  [download]

 

 

 

Card, David, and Alan Krueger, "Minimum Wages and Employment: A Case Study of the Fast Food Industry in New Jersey and Pennsylvania," American Economic Review, September 1994, 722-794. [download]

 

III.

Using these tools to identify some important behavioral relationships

 

 

A.

Detecting Corruption and Identifying its Causes

 

 

 

Duggan, M., and Steven Levitt, “Winning Isn’t Everything:  Corruption in Sumo Wrestling,” American Economic Review, 92(5), 2002, 1594-1605. [download]

 

Please read Chapter 1 of Freakonomics

 

 

 

Fisman, Ray and Edward Miguel, “Corruption, Norms and Legal Enforcement:  Evidence from Diplomatic Parking Tickets,” September 2007, Journal of Political Economy, forthcoming. [download]

 

 

B.

Why have crime rates dropped and some interesting results about crime

 

 

 

Please read Chapter 4 of Freakonomics

 

Levitt,  Steven, “Understanding Why Crime Fell in the 1990s:  Four Factors that Explain theDecline and Six That Do Not,”  Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(1), 2004, 163-190.  [download]

 

 

 

Levitt, Steven, “Using Election Cycles in Police Hiring to Estimate the Effect of Police on Crime,” American Economic Review, 87(3), 1997, 270-290. [download]

 

 

 

Knowles, John, Nicola Persico and Petra Todd, “Racial Bias in Motor Vehicle Searches:  Theory and Evidence,” Journal of Political Economy, 109(1), 2001, 203-229. [download]

 

 

C.

The Abortion/Crime Debate

 

 

 

Donohue, John, and Steven Levitt, “The Impact of Legalized Abortion on Crime,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 116(2), 2001, 379-420. [download]

 

 

 

Pop Eleches, Cristian, “The Impact of Changes in Abortion Regime on Socio-Economic Outcomes of Children:  Evidence from Romania,” Journal of Political Economy, 114(4). [download]

 

Joyce, Ted, “Did Abortion Lower Crime?”  Journal of Human Resources, 44(1), 2004, 1-28. [download]

 

 

D.

Explaining the Rise in Obesity

 

 

 

Cutler, David, Edward Glaeser and Jesse Shapiro, “Why Have Americans Become More Obese?”  Journal of Economic Perspective, 2003. [download]

 

 

 

Schanzenbach, D.W., "Do School Lunches Contribute to Childhood Obesity," University of Chicago, Harris School Working Paper, 05.13.   [download]

 

 

E.

Is Outsourcing Good or Bad?

 

 

 

Mankiw, Greg and Philip Swagel, “The Politics and Economics of Offshore Outsourcing,” Journal of Monetary Economics, 53, 2006, 1027-1056. [download]

 

 

 

Bhagwati, Jagdish, Arvind Panagariya and T.N. Srinivasan, “The Muddles Over Outsourcing,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 18(4), 2004, 93-114. [download]

 

 

F.

Students should boycott manufacturers that use child labor, right?

 

 

 

Edmunds, Eric, “The Economics of Consumer Actions Against Products with Child Labor Content,” Child Labor World Atlas, 2007. [download]

 

 

 

Edmonds, Eric, and Nina Pavcnik, “Child Labor in a Global Context,” Journal of Economic Perspectives, 19(1), 2005, 199-220. [download]

 

 

G.

Game theory, the prisoner’s dilemma and nuclear strategy

 

 

 

I will distribute some notes describing game theory, Nash equilibriums and the prisoner’s dilemma

 

 

 

Axelrod, Robert, “Effective Choice in the Prisoner’s Dilemma,” Journal of Conflict Resoution, 24(1), 1980, 3-25. [download]

 

 

 

Lave, Lester, “An Empirical Approach to the Prisoner’s Dilemma Game,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 76(3), 1962, 424-436. [download]

 

 

 

Schelling, Thomas, “The Future of Arms Control,” Operations Research, 9(5), 1961, 722-731. [Download]

 

 

 

Schelling, Thomas, Nobel Prize Address, December 8, 2005, “An Astonishing 60 Years:  The Legacy of Hiroshima.” [Download]

 

 

 

Suri, Jeremy, “The Nukes of October:  Richard Nixon’s Secret plan to Bring Peace to Viet Nam,”  Wired Magazine, 2/25/08 [link]

 

 

H.

Global Warming

 

 

 

Portney, Paul, “Market-Based Approaches to Environmental Policy,”  Resources,

[download]

 

 

 

Schelling, Thomas, “Some Economics of Global Warming,” American Economic Review, 82(1), 1992, 1-14. [download]

 

 

 

“The Pigou Club Manifesto,” Greg Mankiw’s Blog, http://gregmankiw.blogspot.com/2006/10/pigou-club-manifesto.html

 

 

I.

Should Smokers Pay Higher Taxes?

 

 

 

Gruber, J, "Tobacco at the Crossroads: The Past and Future of Smoking Regulation in the United States" Journal of Economic Perspectives, 15, 2001, 193-212. [download]

 

 

 

Manning, WB, EB Keeler, JP Newhouse, EM Sloss, J Wasserman. The taxes of sin. Do smokers and drinkers pay their way? JAMA 1989 Mar 17,  261(11):1604-1609. [download]

 

 

 

Viscusi, W. Kip, Smoking: Making the Risky Decision, 1992, pages 3-15, 61-70. [download part 1][download part 2]

 

 

J.

A Short Primer on Health Care Reform.  Why are Individual Mandates are so Popular and the Importance of Adverse Selection.

 

 

 

You should spend some time looking over the health care reform proposals of Obama, Clinton, Edwards, plus examine the Massachusetts reform adopted when Romney was governor.

 

 

 

Gruber, Jon, “Massachusetts Health Care Reform:  The View from One Year Out,”  September 2007.  [Download]

 

 

 

Akerlof, George A., “The Market for Lemons:  Quality Uncertainty and the Market Mechanism,” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 84(3), 1970, 488-500. [download]

 

 

 

Simon, Kosali, “Adverse Selection in Health Insurance Markets?  Evidence from State Small-Group Health Insurance Reforms,” Journal of Public Economics, 89, 2005, 1865-1877. [download]

 

 

K.

Pricing the Priceless:  the Value of a Statistical Life and its use in Policy 

 

 

 

Viscusi, W. Kip, “The Value of Life in Legal Contexts:  Survey and Critique,” American Law and Economics Review, 2(1), 2000, 195-222. [download]

 

 

 

Viscusi, W. Kip, “Regulating the Regulators,”  The University of Chicago Law Review, 63(4), 1996, 1423-1461. [download]